OLYMPIC GAMES YEAR 2004

RANKING OF COUNTRIES BY OLYMPIC MEDALS ATHLETIC SUCCESS RATIO 
(=MEDALS PER 1 MILLION POPULATION)

Alexander Makedon, Ph.D.
Chicago State University

Copyright © 2008

TABLE OF CONTENTS

1. Table I: Ranking of Countries based on number of medals earned per 1 million  people in native population (=ASR score)

2. Table II:  Countries that showed Improvement between 2000 and 2004 (=size of positive difference between 2000 and 2004 ASR scores)

3. Table III:  Countries that showed Decline between 2000 and 2004 (=size of negative difference between 2000 and 2004 ASR scores)

4. Table IV: List of countries which didn't receive any medals in 2000, but received at least 1 medal in 2004 (also included inter alia in Table I )

5. Table V: List of countries which didn't make the medal winners list in 2004, but which received at least 1 medal in 2000

6. Narrative Analysis: Important country trends, obvious clusters, comparisons based on geographic, continental, and cultural regions

7. Introduction to ASR: What is it,  and why it should be used in assessing Olympic success

8. Welcome Page

TABLE I:

RANKING OF COUNTRIES BASED ON NUMBER OF MEDALS EARNED PER 1 MILLION PEOPLE IN NATIVE POPULATION (=ASR score)

Table of Contents


RANKING OF
COUNTRIES
BASED ON ASR
Ranked in descending order
according to Olympic medals
ASR score

Total number of countries
receiving medals in 2004
summer Olympics=74
(out of 201 participating;
127 did not receive medals).
Total medals awarded=929.

Source: "2004 Summer Olympics
Medal Count," Wikipedia
Encyclopedia,
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/
2004_Summer

_Olympics_medal_count)
(Note: number in
parentheses, below,
represents Olympic
medal ASR ranking
in 2000 summer Olympics)

POPULATION
COUNTRY
-BY-
COUNTRY
Source:
Encyclopedia
Britannica
Almanac 2004,
ed. J. E. Safra and
J. Cauz, 2003,
pp. 319-643

TOTAL
MEDALS
WON,
OLYMPICS
2004
Total of
Gold,
Bronze &
Silver
medals
per
country.

Source:
"2004 Summer
Olympics
Medal
Count,"
Wikipedia Encyclopedia,
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/
2004_Summer

Olympics
medal_count

OLYMPIC MEDALS
ASR SCORE
Medals Won per 1 Million People
in Country's Population

Math Formula:
ASR=No. of Medals X 1,000,000 divided

by country's population
Note: number in parentheses
represents change in ASR
since 2000 Olympiad:

Green=increase in ASR;
Brown=decrease in ASR
Light Blue=No medals awarded in 2000

KEY
=moved up since 2000
ASR ranking

=moved down since
2000 ASR ranking

=stayed same
since 2000 ASR ranking


Ranking: 2004   ....(2000 ranking)

1-Bahamas......(1) 309000 2 ASR YR: 2000=7.0496

ASR YR: 2004=6.4725

CHANGE IN ASR SINCE 2000:  (-0.5771)

2-Australia..(4) 19702000 49 ASR 2000=3.0878

ASR 2004=2.4871

CHANGE IN ASR SINCE 2000:  (-0.6007)

3-Cuba....(6) 11267000 27 ASR 2000=2.6135

ASR 2004=2.3964

CHANGE IN ASR SINCE 2000: (-0.2171)

4-Estonia.... (8)

1359000

3 ASR 2000=2.1299

ASR 2004=2.2075

CHANGE IN ASR SINCE 2000: (+0.0776)

5-Slovenia....(24) 1948000 4 ASR 2000=1.0149

ASR 2004=2.0533

CHANGE IN ASR SINCE 2000: (+1.0384)

6-Jamaica....(5)

2630000

5 ASR 2000=2.6391

ASR 2004=1.9012

CHANGE IN ASR SINCE 2000: (-0.7379)

7-Latvia....(17)

2331000 4 ASR 2000=1.2745

ASR 2004=1.7160

CHANGE IN ASR SINCE 2000: (+0.4415)

8-Hungary......(10) 10162000 17 ASR 2000=1.6689

ASR 2004=1.6730

CHANGE IN ASR SINCE 2000: (+0.0041)

9-Bulgaria......(12) 7890000 12 ASR 2000=1.5864

ASR 2004=1.5209

CHANGE IN ASR SINCE 2000: (-0.0655)

10-Belarus.....(11) 9933000 15 ASR 2000=1.6343

ASR 2004=1.5101

CHANGE IN ASR SINCE 2000: (-0.1242)

11-Denmark.....(22) 5377000 8 ASR 2000=1.1201

ASR 2004=1.4878

CHANGE IN ASR SINCE 2000: (+0.3677)

12-Greece......(19)

Table of Contents

10994000 16 ASR 2000=1.2141

ASR 2004=1.4553

CHANGE IN ASR SINCE 2000: (+0.2412)

13-Netherlands.

...(13)

16142000 22 ASR 2000=1.5815

ASR 2004=1.3629

CHANGE IN ASR SINCE 2000: (-0.2186)

14-Norway.....(7) 4537000 6 ASR 2000=2.2530

ASR 2004=1.3226

CHANGE IN ASR SINCE 2000: (-0.9304)

15-New Zealand....(23)

3893000 5 ASR 2000=1.0922

ASR 2004=1.2844

CHANGE IN ASR SINCE 2000: (+0.1922)

16-Croatia...(41) 4405000 5 ASR 2000=0.4276

ASR 2004=1.1351

CHANGE IN ASR SINCE 2000: (+0.7075)

17-Slovakia...(25) 5383000 6 ASR 2000=0.9266

ASR 2004=1.1146

CHANGE IN ASR SINCE 2000:(+0.1880)

18-Romania.....(21) 21667000 19 ASR 2000=1.1641

ASR 2004=0.8769

CHANGE IN ASR SINCE 2000: (-0.2872)

19-Austria.....(44)

8077000 7 ASR 2000=0.3686

ASR 2004=0.8667

CHANGE IN ASR SINCE 2000: (+0.4981)

20-Lithuania....(14) 3473000 3 ASR 2000=1.3947

ASR 2004=0.8638

CHANGE IN ASR SINCE 2000: (-0.5309)

21-Georgia.....(20) 4961000 4 ASR 2000=1.1842

ASR 2004=0.8063

CHANGE IN ASR SINCE 2000: (-0.3779)

22-Sweden.....(16)

8925000 7 ASR 2000=1.3466

ASR 2004=0.7843

CHANGE IN ASR SINCE 2000: (-0.5623)

23-Czech Republic...(26) 10210060 8 ASR 2000=0.7782

ASR 2004=0.7835

CHANGE IN ASR SINCE 2000: (+0.0053)

24-Trinidad & Tobago..(9)

Table of Contents

1304000 1 ASR 2000=1.8147

ASR 2004=0.7669

CHANGE IN ASR SINCE 2000: (-1.0478)

25-Switzerland.....(18) 7282000 5 ASR 2000=1.2370

ASR 2004=0.6866

CHANGE IN ASR SINCE 2000: (-0.5504)

26-Russian Federation.

...(30)

143673000 92 ASR 2000=0.6011

ASR 2004=0.6403

CHANGE IN ASR SINCE 2000: (+0.0392)

27-Korea (South)....(32) 47640000 30 ASR 2002=0.5972

ASR 2004=0.6297

CHANGE IN ASR SINCE 2000: (+0.0325)

28-Azerbaijan.....(43) 8176000 5 ASR 2000=0.3794

ASR 2004=0.6116

CHANGE IN ASR SINCE 2000: (+0.2322)

29-Germany........(28)

82506000

49 ASR 2000=0.6944

ASR 2004=0.5939

CHANGE IN ASR SINCE 2000: (-0.1005)

30-France......(29) 59440000 33 ASR 2000=0.6443

ASR 2004=0.5552

CHANGE IN ASR SINCE 2000: (-0.0891)

31-Italy.......(31) 57988000 32 ASR 2000=0.5993

ASR 2004=0.5518

CHANGE IN ASR SINCE 2000: (-0.0475)

32-Kazakhstan....(42) 14884000 8 ASR 2000=0.4161

ASR 2004=0.5375

CHANGE IN ASR SINCE 2000: (+0.1211)

33-England- U.K....(37)

60178000 30 ASR 2000=0.4737

ASR 2004=0.4985

CHANGE IN ASR SINCE 2000: (+0.0248)

34-Ukraine......(38) 48120000 23 ASR 2000=0.4617

ASR 2004=0.4780

CHANGE IN ASR SINCE 2000: (+0.0163)

35-Spain.....(49) 40998000 19 ASR 2000=0.2808

ASR 2004=0.4634

CHANGE IN ASR SINCE 2000: (+0.1826)

36-Mongolia ...

(unranked in 2000-No medals)

Table of Contents

2457000 1 ASR 2004=0.4070

(No 2000 medals)

37-Finland.... (27) 5201000 2 ASR 2000=0.7754

ASR 2004=0.3845

CHANGE IN ASR SINCE 2000: (-0.3909)

38-Canada.....(39) 31244000 12 ASR 2000=0.4515

ASR 2004=0.3841

CHANGE IN ASR SINCE 2000: (-0.0674)

39-United States.....(46)

287602000   102 ASR 2000=0.3558

ASR 2004=0.3547

CHANGE IN ASR SINCE 2000: (-0.0011)

40-Israel.....(56) 6394000 2 ASR 2000=0.1739

ASR 2004=0.3128

CHANGE IN ASR SINCE 2000: (+0.1389)

41-Belgium....(36) 10280000

3 ASR 2000=0.4911

ASR 2004=0.2918

CHANGE IN ASR SINCE 2000: (-0.1993)

42-Japan....(60) 127347000 37 ASR 2000=0.1427

ASR 2004=0.2905

CHANGE IN ASR SINCE 2000: (+0.1478)

43-Portugal....(64) 10384000 3 ASR 2000=0.1008

ASR 2004=0.2889

CHANGE IN ASR SINCE 2000: (+0.1881)

44-United Arab Emirates...

(unranked in 2000-No medals)

3550000 1 ASR=0.2817

(No 2000 medals)

45-Zimbabwe..

(unranked in 2000-No medals)

11377000 3 ASR 2004=0.2637

(No  2000 medals)

46-Poland....(45)

38644000 10 ASR 2000=0.3626

ASR 2004=0.2588

CHANGE IN ASR SINCE 2000: (-0.1038)

47-Eritrea...

(unranked in 2000-No medals)

3981000 1 ASR 2004=0.2512

(No 2000 medals)

48-Korea DPR (North).

..(55)

Table of Contents

22224000 5 ASR 2000=0.1870

ASR 2004=0.2250

CHANGE IN ASR SINCE 2000: (+0.0380)

49-Kenya....(52)

31139000 7 ASR 2000=0.2430

ASR 2004=0.2248

CHANGE IN ASR SINCE 2000: (-0.0182)

50-Taiwan....(53) 22457000 5 ASR 2000=0.2261

ASR 2004=0.2226

CHANGE IN ASR SINCE 2000: (-0.0035)

51-Chile....(67) 15082000 3 ASR 2000=0.0668

ASR 2004=0.1989

CHANGE IN ASR SINCE 2000: (+0.1321)

52-Uzbekistan...... (58) 25484000 5 ASR 2000=0.1660

ASR 2004=0.1962

CHANGE IN ASR SINCE 2000: (+0.0302)

53-Serbia and
Montenegro
(former Yugoslavia)...(51)
10664000 2 ASR 2000=0.2677

ASR 2004=0.1876

CHANGE IN ASR SINCE 2000: (-0.0801)

54-Paraguay..

(unranked in 2000-No medals)

5774000 1 PAR-ASR 2004=0.1732

(No 2000 medals)

55-Argentina....(63) 36446000 6 ASR 2000=0.1089

ASR 2004=0.1646

CHANGE IN ASR SINCE 2000: (+0.0557)

56-Hong Kong (China).

(unranked in 2000-No medals)

6785000 1 HK-ASR 2004=0.1474

(No 2000 medals)

57-Turkey....(70)

69359000

10 ASR 2000=0.0610

ASR 2004=0.1442

CHANGE IN ASR SINCE 2000: (+0.0832)

58-South Africa....(62)

45172000 6 ASR 2000=0.1151

ASR 2004=0.1328

CHANGE IN ASR SINCE 2000: (+0.0177)

59-Dominican Republic.

(unranked in 2000-No medals)

8833000 1 ASR 2004=0.1132

(No 2000 medals)

60-Ethiopia....(61)

Table of Contents

67673000 7 ASR 2000=0.1340

ASR 2004=0.1034

CHANGE IN ASR SINCE 2000: (-0.0306)

61-Morocco...(57) 29632000 3 ASR 2000=0.1686

ASR 2004=0.1012

CHANGE IN ASR SINCE 2000: (-0.0674)

62-Iran (Persia)....(69) 65457000 6 ASR 2000=0.0614

ASR 2004=0.0917

CHANGE IN ASR SINCE 2000: (+0.0303)

63-Venezuela ..

(unranked in 2000-No medals)

25093000 2 ASR 2004=0.0797

(No 2000 medals)

64-Egypt..

(unranked in 2000-No medals)

66341000 5 ASR 2004=0.0754

(No  2000 medals)

65-Thailand...(74) 63430000 4 ASR 2000=0.0495

ASR 2004=0.0631

CHANGE IN ASR SINCE 2000: (+0.0136)

66-Cameroon...(68) 16185000 1 ASR 2000=0.0647

ASR 2004=0.0618

CHANGE IN ASR SINCE 2000: (-0.0029)

67-Syria....

(unranked in 2000-No medals)

17156000 1 ASR 2004=0.0583

(No 2000 medals)

68-Brazil......(66)

174619000 10 ASR 2000=0.0698

ASR 2004=0.0573

CHANGE IN ASR SINCE 2000: (-0.0125)

69-China-People's Republic of.

...(75)

1284211000 63 ASR 2000=0.0473

ASR 2004=0.0491

CHANGE IN ASR SINCE 2000: (+0.0018)

70-Colombia....(78) 41008000 2 ASR 2000=0.0254

ASR 2000=0.0488

CHANGE IN ASR SINCE 2000: (+0.0234)

71-Mexico....(71) 100977000 4 ASR 2000=0.0598

ASR 2004=0.0396

CHANGE IN ASR SINCE 2000: (-0.0202)

72-Indonesia....(76)
211023000 4 ASR 2000=0.0278

ASR 2004=0.0190

CHANGE IN ASR SINCE 2000: (-0.0088)

73-Nigeria.....(77) 129935000 2 ASR 2000=0.0264

ASR 2004=0.0154

CHANGE IN ASR SINCE 2000: (-0.0110)

74-India....(80)

Table of Contents

1047671000 1 ASR 2000=0.0010

ASR 2004=0.0009

CHANGE IN ASR SINCE 2000: (-0.0001)


TABLE II:

"ASRIS" RANKING:

RANKING OF COUNTRIES THAT SHOWED IMPROVEMENT BETWEEN 2000 AND 2004

(=SIZE OF POSITIVE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN 2000 AND 2004 ASR SCORES)

Methodology: Countries were ranked in descending order on the basis of the size of positive improvement in  their ASR scores between the 2000 and 2004 summer Olympics. ASR Imporvement Score is abbreviated here as "ASRIS." Countries that did not receive medal(s) in either 2000 or 2004 were not included in this list.

What is "ASRIS?" ASRIS stands for "ASR Improvement Score." It was "created" by site's designer to represent mathematically country-by-country improvement in Olympic-level athleticism between 2000 and 2004 summer Olympics. It can be used for similar comparisons between any past or future Olympiads. In the case of ASRIS between the 2000 and 2004 summer Olympics, it is equal to a country's ASR score in the 2000 summer Olympics minus its ASR score in the 2004 summer Olympics. ASRIS can be used as in index of a country's rate of improvement in medals earned per 1 million people between the 2000 and 2004 summer Olympics.

Significance: ASRIS ranking can be used to assess both, how much each country improved its rate of medals earned per million people between the 2000 and 2004 summer Olympics; and how such improvement compares to other countries' ASR improvements (or ASRIS scores). Such ranking is a more reliable index of growth in "athleticism," if by "athleticism" is meant rate of medals per million population, than absolute (non-growth-based) ASR ranking (see Table I ). This is so because a country may rank higher in absolute ASR ranking when compared to other countries, but do so not because it experienced a higher level of Olympic-level athleticism within its own population between 2000 and 2004, but because of the relatively  weaker performance by other countries (=smaller ASR scores by other countries). This explains the phenomenon of some countries that experienced negative ASR growth between 2000 and 2004 (=had lower rates of Olympic medals per million people, due either to fewer medals earned , or relatively higher population growth), nevertheless earned a higher ASR rank in 2004 relative to other countries, than they did in 2000.  See, for example, the following countries, which, in spite of a decrease in their rate of medals earned per million people between 2000 and 2004, nevertheless placed even higher in 2004 relative to other countries: Australia, Cuba, Bulgaria, Belarus, Romania, United States, Kenya, Taiwan, Ethiopia, Cameroon, Indonesia, Nigeria, India.

Table of Contents


ASR IMPROVEMENT OR "ASRIS" SCORES:

RANKING IN DESCENDING ORDER (HIGHEST TO LOWEST)

GROWTH IN ASR BETWEEN 2000 AND 2004 SUMMER OLYMPICS

1.  1.0384 SLOVENIA

2.   0.7075 CROATIA

3.     0.4981 AUSTRIA

4. 0.4415 LATVIA

5. 0.3677 DENMARK

6.  0.2637 ZIMBABWE

7.  0.2412 GREECE

8. 0.2322 AJERBAIJAN

9.   0.1922 NEW ZEALAND

10.   0.1881 PORTUGAL

11. 0.1880 SLOVAKIA

12. 0.1826 SPAIN

0.1478 JAPAN

0.1389 ISRAEL

0.1321 CHILE

0.1211 KAZAKHSTAN

0.0832 TURKEY

0.0776 ESTONIA

0.0557 ARGENTINA

0.0392 RUSSIAN FEDERATION

0.0380 KOREA DPR (North)

0.0325 KOREA (SOUTH)

0.0303 IRAN (PERSIA)

0.0302 UZBEKISTAN

0.0248 ENGLAND-U.K.

0.0234 COLOMBIA

0.0177 SOUTH AFRICA

0.0163 UKRAINE

0.0136 THAILAND

0.0053 CZECH REPUBLIC

0.0041 HUNGARY

0.0018 CHINA PEOPLE'S REPUBLIC OF

Table of Contents

-1.0478 TRINIDAD & TOBAGO

-0.9304 NORWAY

-0.7379 JAMAICA

-0.6007 AUSTRALIA

-0.5771 BAHAMAS

-0.5623 SWEDEN

-0.5504 SWITZERLAND

-0.5309 LITHUANIA

-0.3909 FINLAND

-0.3779 GEORGIA

-0.2872 ROMANIA

-0.2186 NETHERLANDS

-0.2171 CUBA

-0.1993 BELGIUM

-0.1242 BELARUS

-0.1038 POLAND

-0.1005 GERMANY

-0.0891 FRANCE

-0.0801 SERBIA AND MONTENEGRO (former Yugoslavia)

-0.0674 CANADA

-0.0674 MOROCCO

-0.0655 BULGARIA

-0.0475 ITALY

-0.0306 ETHIOPIA

-0.0202 MEXICO

-0.0182 KENYA

-0.0125 BRAZIL

-0.0110 NIGERIA

-0.0088 INDONESIA

-0.0035 TAIWAN

-0.0029 CAMEROON

-0.0011 UNITED STATES

-0.0001 INDIA

TABLE II:

LIST OF COUNTRIES WHICH DID NOT RECEIVE MEDALS IN 2004, BUT WHICH RECEIVED AT LEAST 1 MEDAL IN 2000

Table of Contents

COUNTRIES FROM 2000 MEDAL WINNERS LIST WHICH RECEIVED NO MEDALS IN 2004

Below is a list of countries that received no medals in 2004, but which received at least 1 medal in 2000 summer Olympics.

(Key: number in parentheses represents ASR ranking in 2000 Olympics)

ASR scores from 2000

1-Barbados...........(2) ASR 2000=3.8582

(No  2004 medals)

2-Iceland...............(3) ASR 2000=3.6696

(No  2004 medals)

3-Qatar................(15) ASR 2000=1.3821

(No  2004 medals)

4-Costa Rica.......(33) ASR 2000=0.5443

(No  2004 medals)

5-Kuwait............(34) ASR 2000=0.5022

(No  2004 medals)

6-FYROM-Former Yug .

Republic of  Macedonia..(35)

ASR 2000=0.4944

(No  2004 medals)

7-Moldova, Republic of..(40) ASR 2000=0.4483

(No  2004 medals)

8-Uruguay.............(47) ASR 2000=0.3022

(No  2004 medals)

9-Armenia............(48) ASR 2000=0.2933

(No  2004 medals)

10-Ireland...........(50) ASR 2000=0.2753

(No  2004 medals)

11-Kyrgyzstan.......(54) ASR 2000=0.2200

(No  2004 medals)

12-Algeria.......(59) ASR 2000=0.1606

(No  2004 medals)

13-Saudi Arabia......(65) ASR 2000=0.0930

(No  2004 medals)

14-Mozambique......(72) ASR 2000=0.0523

(No  2004 medals)

15-Sri Lanka....(73) ASR 2000=0.0522

(No  2004 medals)

16-Vietnam....(79)

Table of Contents

ASR 2000=0.0129

(No  2004 medals)

TABLE III:

LIST OF COUNTRIES WHICH DID NOT RECEIVE MEDALS IN 2000, BUT RECEIVED AT LEAST 1 MEDAL IN 2004 (also listed inter alia in Table I )

Table of Contents


Country (ASR Rating in 2004)
Mongolia .......................(36)
United Arab Emirates ....(39)
Zimbabwe .....................(45)
Eritrea ..........................(47)
Paraguay ......................(54)
Hong Kong (China) ......(56)
Dominican Republic...... (59)
Venezuela..................... (63)
Egypt ...........................(64)
Syria............................ (67)

Table of Contents

TABLE IV:

RANKING OF COUNTRIES ON THE BASIS OF THEIR ASR IMPROVEMENT FROM 2000 TO 2004

(=RANKING BASED ON SIZE OF DIFFERENCE BETWEEN 2000 AND 20004 SCORES: SEE ASR SCORES IN TABLE I )

Table of Contents

For a narrative analysis of the 2004 ASR rankings by country, continents, and distinct geographic/cultural regions, please click here .

Table of Contents